categoryMenu_new
 
  Home
  EXTRAORDINARY AH Teaching from Spiritual Hierarchy
  AbundantHope
  NEW READERS! Read Here First
  Supporting AH
  Leadership of AbundantHope
  Announcements
  Regional AH Sites
  Other Sites with AH material
  Contact Us
  Becoming A Messiah
  OUR PUBLIC FORUM IS OPEN TOO ALL
  Mission Ideas
  System Busting
  Cleric Letter/English
  Translations of Cleric Letter
  AH Member Writings
  Candace
  Ron
  Rosie
  Jess
  Brian's Poetry
  James
  Giuseppe
  John Taylor
  Esteban
  Telepathic Messages
  Candace
  Jess Anthony
  Vince
  Leonette
  John
  Adam
  Bela
  Joyce
  Hazel
  Kibo
  Peter
  Rosie
  Johan
  Lucia
  Lucia G
  Rubens
  Shellee-Kim
  Ben
  Dorothea
  Solon
  Others
  Targeted Messages
  Hano
  Light Flower
  Changing The Face Of Religion
  - Phoenix Journals - PDF in German
  Candace on Religion
  Other Spiritual Pieces
  Spiritual Nuggets by the Masters
  Phoenix Journals
  Phoenix Journals - PDF
  Telepathic Messages PDF books
  Selections from the Urantia Book
  CMGSN Pieces
  THE WAVE
  David Crayford and the ITC
  Environment/Science
  Health and Nutrition
  Podcasts, Radio Shows, Video by AH
 
  Political Information
  True US History
  Human/Animal Rights
  The Miracle That Is Me
  Education
  Resources
  911 Material
  Books - eBooks
  government email/phone #'s
  Self Reliance
  Video
  Websites
  Alternative News Sources
  Art and Music
  Foreign Sites
  Health and Healing
  Human/Animal Rights
  Scientific
  Spiritual
  Vegan Recipes
  Translated Material
  Dutch
  Gekanaliseerde berichten Jess
  Gekanaliseerde berichten Candace
  Gekanaliseerde berichten Anderen
  Artikelen/berichten
  French
  Canal Jess
  Par Candace
  Other Channels
  Articles
  German
  Telepathische Nachrichten (Candace)
  Telepathische Nachrichten (Jess)
  Telepathische Nachrichten (div.)
  AH Mitgliederbeiträge (Candace)
  AH Mitgliederbeiträge (Jess)
  Spirituelle Schätze
  Italian
  Translations - Candace
  Translations - Jess
  Translations - Others
  Portuguese
  by Candace
  By Jess
  By Others
  Spanish
  Anfitriones Divinos
  Bitácoras Fénix
  Creadores-de-Alas (WingMakers/Lyricus)
  Escritos de Candace
  Escritos de Otros
  Monjoronsón
  Telemensajes de Candace
  Telemensajes de Jess Anthony
  Telemensajes de Otros
  Chinese
  By Candace
  By Jess
  By Others
  Korean Translations
  Hungarian Translations
  Swedish Translations

Search
[an error occurred while processing this directive]
Political Information Last Updated: Jun 22, 2018 - 3:33:17 AM


Pt.2- Syria MUST Take Back Daara: Washington Faces a Choice
By Penny
Jun 22, 2018 - 3:27:33 AM

Email this article
 Printer friendly page Share/Bookmark

Follow up to: Syria MUST Take Back Daraa

Selected excerpts from War on the Rocks
my limited commentary bolded

" The United States faces a critical decision in southwestern Syria.

A Syrian military offensive on the southwest now seems imminent. Clashes broke out on the area's eastern edge on Tuesday, and the Syrian military bombed rebel-held towns from the air, an unambiguous breach of the de-escalation agreement. Time is short. Still, there may still be a chance for an alternative. In our latest report at the International Crisis Group, Keeping the Calm in Southern Syria, we urge all sides - the de-escalation agreement's three sponsors as well as, indirectly, Israel and the Syrian government - to broker a deal to prevent a bloody fight for the southwest.

For the Trump administration, that means it has to choose:
  • 1- Will it deal with the southwest on the area's own terms? (ignoring the civilian rhetoric/ the US does not care at all about civilians) and promoting the interests of Jordan and Israel, two close allies?
  • 2- Or will it fail to engage seriously in negotiations and allow events to take a more brutal course, one that crushes the southwestern opposition, rends the area's remaining social fabric, and squanders whatever terms and guarantees Washington and its allies might have been able to negotiate in advance?
The sponsors of the de-escalation agreement discussed expanding the size of the buffer area, but higher-level trilateral negotiations faltered late last year. The Amman-based ceasefire monitoring center has continued to meet, but any expansion of the buffer zone and other substantive developments to the de-escalation agreement are the province of trilateral political talks among the United States, Russia, and Jordan. Those talks last convened in November 2017 - and since then, the agreement has been on autopilot.
The southwest is critically important to an ongoing struggle between Israel and Iran over the nature and duration of Iran's presence in Syria, a regional conflict that has run parallel to the country's civil war. The intervention of Iran and Hizballah in defense of their Syrian ally has given them a political prominence and military role in Syria with no precedent prior to the 2011 uprising. Israel has become convinced that Iran's expanded presence risks upsetting the two countries' tenuous deterrent balance across the region and has declared it will not allow Iran to establish a lasting strategic military presence in Syria. It has outlined a set of "red lines" that, if crossed, would prompt Israeli military action. These red lines include Iranian-backed militias taking up offensive positions in the southwest, opposite the occupied Golan. Israel has attempted to establish its red lines with an escalating series of strikes against what it alleges are Iranian or Iranian-linked targets in Syria. These strikes have recently come dangerously close to escalating into open interstate war.
The ceasefire and buffer zone established by the de-escalation agreement were meant to serve both Jordanian and Israeli security needs.

America's Syria Policy and an Endangered De-Escalation

1- The de-escalation agreement was meant to be not just a ceasefire, but also the basis for a more complete, evolving deal in the rebel-held southwest. Yet the Trump administration's shifting policy has undermined the de-escalation deal, and, since last fall, prevented negotiated progress to advance the agreement.

2- The de-escalation agreement was also meant to be underwritten by an influx of stabilization assistance to support governance and services and restore some normality to the rebel-held southwest, led by the United States and the United Kingdom."

In other words the de-escalation agreement was intended, on the part of the US/UK to create an alternative government to the elected government in Damascus- with an eye to annexing still more Syrian territory.

"Militarily speaking, the rebel-held southwest seems unlikely to be a difficult target to capture for the Syrian army, particularly if Russia provides air support for an offensive.Rebel territory can be cut at a few key junctures and then defeated in pieces. The government has also been engaging in talks with rebel-held towns across the southwest to make sure they don't act when the Syrian military marches south.

The main deterrent to a Syrian military offensive had been the danger that the involvement of Iranian-backed militias would set off Israeli intervention.

That meant an offensive posed a real danger to Damascus and might have discouraged crucial involvement by Russia, which has invested in its relationships with both Israel and Jordan. Yet Damascus can muster newly mobile Syrian forces, after its victories elsewhere, and energetic Russian diplomacy may have neutralized the risk of Israeli action"


If Russian diplomacy has neutralized the Israeli actions? We shall see.

"According to news reports and Israeli officials who spoke to my organization, Israel and Russia have arrived at a preliminary understanding on the return of the Syrian state to the southwest, conditional on the exclusion of Iranian-backed elements from that area and Israel's continued freedom to strike inside Syria"

I wonder who has provided this information to Mr Heller's organization? It's unverifiable. We can only know afterwards if this accurate. I would hope Russia wouldn't make that type of a deal with Israel.

"The U.S. State Department has warned Damascus against violating the de-escalation agreement and repeatedly promised "firm and appropriate measures." But there is no indication of what that entails, or even if that language is backed by an actual threat. The U.S. government previously told rebels that if the Syrian military attacked, it would "do everything in [its] ability" to preserve the ceasefire - a reassurance that rebels told the International Crisis Group they found ambiguous and underwhelming"

Flashback: U.S. to take 'firm, appropriate measures' against so called Syria violations- Funding Terrorist White Helmets, Again.

"One Chance for a Negotiated Alternative
The United States has a compelling interest in negotiating a settlement that avoids open war and mitigates the harm to the southwest's residents and Syria's neighbors.
As an interim step, the de-escalation agreement's sponsors should adopt a Jordanian proposal to shift the agreement's focus to a "stabilization zone." Stabilization would mean new steps toward the institutional and economic integration of the rebel southwest into its Syrian government-held surroundings - including trade both cross-line and cross-border through a Nasib crossing returned to Syrian state control - and draw in a broader set of international stakeholders, including Russia. The result would hopefully reassure the Syrian government and Russia that negotiated progress is possible and forestall a military attack.
Many southern rebels will resist any deal. But a negotiated resolution is better than a crushing military defeat at the hands of the Syrian military and the Russian air force,followed by unforgiving, prejudicial surrender deals that rip out large sections of the southwest's clan-based society and expel southerners to Syria's rebel-held north. Southern Syrians are better served by a deal that spares pointless bloodshed and preserves their tightly knit social fabric by keeping southern communities intact, preventing social breakdown that encourages crime, radicalism, and recruitment by Iranian-linked elements. Syria's neighbors are better served, too. So is America.
Syria's southwest matters. If the United States is going to protect its interests and the interests of its closest regional allies in this corner of Syria's war, it needs to invest in talks and produce a solution specifically for the southwest - for the southwest's sake and for America's."

Can it get any more obvious that the whole concern here is for Israel ?

Related:


https://pennyforyourthoughts2.blogspot.com/2018/06/pt2-syria-must-take-back-daara.html




All writings by members of AbundantHope are copyrighted by
©2005-2018 AbundantHope - All rights reserved

Detailed explanation of AbundantHope's Copyrights are found here


Top of Page

Political Information
Latest Headlines
We Pay Our Taxes. So Why Don’t Corporations? Here’s Why
Israel Evacuates 800 White Helmets from Syria to Jordan
LORD MARK MALLOCH-BROWN - THE GLOBALIST RACKETEER KINGPIN RUNNING THE QUEEN’S PRIVY COUNCIL WITH GEORGE SOROS
U.K. Gay Lobby Lashes Out at Rev. Franklin Graham for ‘Bigotry,’ ‘Hate’
New British Information Unit Fighting ‘Alternative News’, Promoting Govt-Approved ‘Facts
"Democratic Institutions?" – 10 Lessons From History That Will Destroy Your Trust In The CIA
NATO: Doomed to Destruction by Its Own Growth
Either Trump Fires These People Or The Borg Will Have Won
‘Treasonous’ Trump in the Conspirators’ Crosshairs
Trump Poised to Take Control of the Federal Reserve
‘Only This President Could Make Montenegro a Foreign Policy Problem
Lieberman: Israel being dragged towards ‘large and painful’ Gaza war
Malaysia’s Najib Sought CIA Support Before Election Defeat
How US Influence is Co-Opting Malaysia's Governance
Inside WikiLeaks: Working With The Publisher That Changed The World
This One FBI Text In The Russia Probe Should Alarm Every American
WWG1WGA: The Greatest Communications Event in History
Deep State’s Intensifying Coup Against Trump
British Assassination Campaign Targeting Russian Exiles ?
The Arrest of Maria Butina Is Another Hoax